The truth arrived in October 1962, on a morning so cold that the coffee in my mug froze before I could finish it.
I was sitting in a windowless room in the Pentagon basement, looking at a spreadsheet that should not have existed. The spreadsheet contained data from every major military conflict in human history—from the Battle of Troy to the Cuban Missile Crisis—and the one variable I had been tracking showed a pattern so consistent it was either the most important discovery in two thousand years of...
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